If the truth is out there, Kalshi traders are confident President Trump will release it… or at least some of it.
However, if the Trump administration is sitting on evidence of extraterrestrial life, traders are far less optimistic that they will see the light of day any time soon.
President Trump’s promise
President Donald Trump recently said the Pentagon would release more information on UFOs.
“We’re going to be releasing a lot of things that we haven’t. I think some of it’s going to be very interesting to people,” President Trump said during a recent meeting with the Artemis II crew. However, the President did not give a specific timeframe for the information release.
The President also made a similar promise last month at a Turning Point USA event in Phoenix, claiming that the “first releases will begin very, very soon.”
What could the files reveal?
The existence of UFOs
The U.S. military has already released footage of unidentified aerial phenomena, or UAPs, traveling through American airspace during Air Force missions.
The CBS News program 60 Minutes aired a report in 2021 featuring interviews with military officials about UAPs after Congress called for a full report on what the Pentagon knew about such instances.
The report uncovered details about an unclassified government investigation program from the Pentagon called the Advanced Aerospace Threat Identification Program, or AATIP, that investigated the aerial phenomena.
Reporter Bill Whitaker spoke with U.S. Army counterintelligence special agent and former AATIP director Luis Elizondo, who examined documented reports from servicemen and UAP footage, and said the government has already acknowledged the existence of these unexplained objects.
“Imagine a technology that can do 600-700 G-forces, that can fly 13,000 mph, that can evade radar and that can fly through air, water and possibly space and oh, by the way, has no obvious signs of propulsion, no wings, no control surfaces and yet still can naturally defy the effects of Earth’s gravity,” Elizondo said. “That’s precisely what we’re seeing.”
The takeaway:
Kalshi markets now predict:
New UAP files released before 2027: 85%
U.S. confirms aliens exist before 2027: 20%
This article may contain content generated with the assistance of artificial intelligence. The opinions and perspectives presented in this article belong solely to the author. This is not financial advice. Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an “AS IS” basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
